With the 92nd Oscars airing tonight on ABC, Solzy at the Movies offers predictions on how the Academy Awards will play out on Sunday night.
Knives Out is not nominated for Best Picture tonight. As such, I’m going with my second choice for Best Picture: Jojo Rabbit.
My personal choice not withstanding, it’s hard to imagine the Academy not going for a film such as Parasite or 1917. With the Academy being the Academy, there’s always the possibility that Quentin Tarantino’s love letter, Once Upon A Time In…Hollywood, wins the night. The latter is full of technical achievements so we’ll certainly see what happens tonight. The trick that I’ve found over the years is to follow how the guilds vote. In most instances, the Academy tends to follow the guilds in voting. Sometimes, the are in disagreement.
The main acting awards seem to be a lock. Granted, I still don’t understand why it is that the Golden Globes go first and everyone seems to follow with their choices. Last night’s Indie Spirit Awards had winners that will substantially differ tonight because of the voting body. That and some films were ineligible given their production budgets.
In a perfect world, Apollo 11 would be taking home Best Documentary. Unfortunately, the Solzy Award-winning documentary was not nominated by the Academy. It marks the second consecutive year in which the Critics’ Choice Documentary Awards winner was snubbed come Oscar nominations.
Oscars Predictions
- Best Picture: Jojo Rabbit
- Best Actor in A Leading Role: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
- Best Actress in A Leading Role: Renée Zellweger, Judy
- Best Actor in A Supporting Role: Brad Pitt, Once Upon A Time in…Hollywood
- Best Actress in A Supporting Role: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
- Best Director: Sam Mendes, 1917
- Best Cinematography: Roger Deakins, 1917
- Best Film Editing: Michael McCusker and Andrew Buckland, Ford v Ferrari
- Best Original Screenplay: Bong Joon Ho, Han Jin Won, Parasite
- Best Adapted Screenplay: Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit
- Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 4
- Best Animated Short: Hair Love
- Best Documentary Feature: American Factory
- Best Documentary Short: Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re a Girl)
- Best Live-Action Short: The Neighbors’ Window
- Best International Feature: Parasite (South Korea)
- Best Makeup/Hairstyling: Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan, and Vivian Baker, Bombshell
- Best Costume Design: Mayes C. Rubeo, Jojo Rabbit
- Best Production Design: Production Design: Lee Ha Jun; Set Decoration: Cho Won Woo; Parasite
- Best Visual Effects: Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Matt Aitken and Dan Sudick, Avengers: Endgame
- Best Sound Editing: Oliver Tarney and Rachael Tate, 1917
- Best Sound Mixing: Mark Taylor and Stuart Wilson, 1917
- Best Original Score: Hildur Guðnadóttir, Joker
- Best Original Song: “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again” (Music by Elton John; Lyric by Bernie Taupin), Rocketman